Stretched clockA · P(flip ≤ H)
Awaiting data
Horizon H now—
Successor—
Three readings of one leg. 04 is the original engine,
unchanged. 05 asks the same question over a horizon that stretches with volatility,
so its base rate stays ~50% in every regime. 03 tells you when to stop trusting 04.
None of them predict direction — favourable and adverse moves are the same size in
every bracket.
74%